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Information reduces Uncertainty

Last month I talked about teams and feedback. The last two weeks I have been working in south-east Africa teaching and training petroleum people how to build a safety culture. Much has been written on HSE but, as far as I am aware, cybernetics has not yet been applied as a useful tool for governance. Risk prevention and risk management are methods to control risks, but often do not consider the cybernetical law of requisite variety or philosophical solutions such as a science of ethics. To prevent and control HSE risks, we have to first know ourselves. Who am I? How do I react? How do I communicate? These so-called ‘Human Factors’ are, in my opinion, insufficiently explored and understood. In Africa we spoke about narcissism, arrogance, recklessness and other human character traits and concluded that they are always dependent on the interaction with others. On an island alone, people would not have much use for such traits. Let me first explain the Law of Requisite Variety, which was pr…

Weltschmerz

Leon de Winter noemt Café Weltschmerz het belangrijkste journalistieke online burgerplatform buiten de gesubsidieerde omroepen om. Ik was er onlangs te gast om te worden geïnterviewd door een Congolese Nederlander Alphonse Muambi, de schrijver van ‘Democratie kun je niet eten’. We spraken over het verband tussen olie, grondstoffen en emigratie (economische vluchtelingen) uit Afrika naar Europa. Dit verband is er. In mijn nieuwe boek ‘Coltan, Congo’s Curse’ leg ik uit wat er aan de hand is in Congo en dat er qua exploitatie en conflict sinds Koning Leopold II’ rubberterreur niet veel is veranderd. En daar wil ik het over hebben deze keer. Nee, niet over Afrika alleen, maar over het analyseren van zogenaamde ‘Eerste Oorzaken.’ Waarom proberen mensen weg te komen uit hun geboortestreken, iedereen die ze kennen en alles wat ze ooit hadden achterlatend? De eerste oorzaak die de emigratie vooral uit Afrika heeft doen toenemen is nog steeds dezelfde: armoede. Iemand in Angola vertelde me dat ju…

The Principal Cause of Global Instability

Realimiteit Theory© – Realimity Principle© – Realimiteit© Lynn Margulis: ‘if it metabolizes it is alive, if it not metabolizes it is not.’ 1.We have to take into account that there is a natural limitation for the realisation of goals. 2.Desired realities or goals can be achieved and be sustainable only if they remain within natural boundaries of functionality which are dependent on cognition, i.e. interaction with environment by a continuous exchange of information. Life or living systems (Capra, Bateson) depend on the criteria needed for survival; for example health: a non-polluted environment, social safety, biological and ecological balance. According to Maturana and Varela’s Santiago Theory of Cognition, life is autopoietic; this means it creates, maintains and sustains itself through communication (cognition) with the environment. The sustenance of life therefore depends on the availability of creative conditions. Life that encounters ‘destructive’ conditions will perish as it cannot…

The nine planetary boundaries & Realimity

On our website, we talk about systems that can only maintain stability and sustainability when they operate within natural boundaries of functionality. Here is a listing of nine planetary boundaries suggested by the Stockholm University Resiliance Centre we already crossed. Yesterday the US President decided to ignore the 2016 Paris Climate Agreement. This will inevitably lead to non-linear effects beyond anyone's control and will end in entropy. This can be predicted by our Realimiteit Principle. We are in for a rough ride....

The nine planetary boundaries Stratospheric ozone depletion The stratospheric ozone layer in the atmosphere filters out ultraviolet (UV) radiation from the sun. If this layer decreases, increasing amounts of UV radiation will reach ground level. This can cause a higher incidence of skin cancer in humans as well as damage to terrestrial and marine biological systems. The appearance of the Antarctic ozone hole was proof that increased concentrations of anthropog…

Negative Interdepence versus Positive Interdependence.

Here is a listing of some negative interdependent industries, organisations, corporations, political ideologies. I will also add the non-linear effects (beyond control). Let me first start by explaining what negative interdependence means and compare it with the opposite which is 'positive interdependence’.
Positive interdependent?All stakeholders will benefit. Negative interdependent? Only some stakeholders benefit because others (people, society, environment, flora, fauna, etc.) will or cannot.
It becomes quite easy to understand which organisation, services or products are negatively interdependent and which ones are not but luckily the number of sustainable ones is growing fast.
Let's start with the First Cause Principle: the financial industry, which in fact is causing organisations, people, industries, political processes to act with in mind the intention of financial gain. The intention to make money has become prioritised and leads to ignoring information which could…

Realimiteit Theory or Realimiteit Principle

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Realimity Theory – Realimity Principle – Realimiteit
Lynn Margulis: ‘if it metabolizes it is alive, if it not metabolizes it is not.’
We have to take into account that there is a natural limitation for the realisation of goals. Desired realities or goals can be achieved and only be sustainable within natural boundaries of functionality which are dependent on cognition, i.e. interaction with environment by a continuous exchange of information.
Life or living systems (Capra, Bateson) depend on the criteria needed for survival; for example health: a non polluted environment, social safety, biological and ecological balance. According to Maturana and Varela’s Santiago Theory of Cognition, life is autopoietic; this means it creates, maintains and sustains itself through communication (cognition) with environment. The sustenance of life therefore depends on the availability of creative conditions. Life that encounters ‘destructive’ conditions will perish as it cannot be sustained or sustain…

How to prevent and manage risk while achieving sustainability?

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TankTerminalTraining in cooperation with Creazene.org offer a new training program based on research about causality of Risk and Sustainability in the energy sector. It shows that 79% of risks can be contributed to human decision making. The other 21% of risks are caused by non human influence such as weather, floods, volcanoes, drought, earth quakes, etc.
Once we understood this, says Arend van Campen, leader of the research team, we then looked at decision makers’ awareness, motivation and if they were able to understand their company or organisation as a living organism. Also an important question was if they were approaching Risk and Sustainability from a mechanistic or reductionist position or from deontological motivation, their duty.
This was needed, because rational, mechanistic thinking usually only understands and deals with linear causality (direct effect), but have sometimes difficulty to understand non linear causality (indirect and unpredictable effect).
The latter is the…